Wednesday, March 17, 2010

It's about time: Tuesday's six winning dogs out of seven gives 5x its biggest boost to date, and 50x cashes in bigtime with a tail-wagging +$10G.

Sports book punters are not the most patient of people, which is presumably why they bet pro games rather than riding the stock market rollercoaster.

As I have said before, one good day proves nothing - but it sure as hell beats a bad day.

Staying with the over/under topic for a moment, yesterday saw six out of eight NBA scores top the spread, and another six come in under the total.

In eight of 11 NHL matches, eight scores were over the spread but just three were under the total.

The OS (over the spread) part of my UTOS formula is supported by an analysis of 6,101 games in the sports database, with 67% of all scores (4,081) topping the spread.

Under the total, at 3,059 or 50%, edged out 2,854 overs (47%) but only just, suggesting that betting the total is much more of an even-money proposition, made less attractive by the 10% vig.

So OS still looks good...

None of Tuesday's wins paid back less than even money, but today's NBA and NHL schedules are short on short odds, so there are a couple more funky bets in the lists below.

Thursday, March 18 at 1:00pm

We're on a roll!

Wednesday brought four right picks and gave the 5x rules set a $650 boost.

Keep this up, and we'll be back in the green before long.

Dogs did not do well overall yesterday (21%) but our timing was enough to make up for it.

The bottom line barely blipped in the 50x column, but at least there wasn't a setback in the wake of Tuesday's surge.

I am getting some flak for the UTOS posts, the gist of it being that I am making it all look too simple.

All I can say to that is that readers who choose to explore my ideas should be ready to use common sense and good judgment to tailor them to their needs.

Betting OS willy-nilly won't work. Bookies are not as dumb as the rest of us would like them to be, and they have devised all sorts of canny ways to limit their exposure.

Keep that in mind when you are going after their money!

Here's today's update:

An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. There's nothing to buy, ever, and your soul is safe (from me, at least). Test my ideas and use them or don't. It's up to you.