Thursday, February 18, 2010

You can't change the rules in mid-game, and that's fair enough. But that does not mean you are not allowed to learn from past mistakes!

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The 5x trial bounced up for the first time in quite a while yesterday, thanks to four right picks out of seven.

But once again, the 50x alternative took an expensive hit because none of the four winning selections matched up with the day's biggest bet.

It's frustrating, that's for sure - but not, I think, a reason to assume that the the hallowed rule that makes each of the seven series independent of the others should be abandoned.

Not yet, anyway.

In my estimation, the folly of a too narrow spread has been amply confirmed by what has happened to the 5x trial since it hit its all-time high a month ago.

But the current slump in the alternate or parallel trial, while painful, is not the worst we have seen since this whole thing began on November 1.

For example, we hit a high on November 8, then suffered a series of hits that were not recovered until Nov 14, with a new high established on Nov 18.

The wheels came off soon after that, and it took until December 6 (almost three weeks) before recovery was achieved, with a new best win being recorded next day before another slump took effect.

The next recovery was on December 17, then on Dec 19, and a new high was set on Dec 21 before the next slump, which was turned around on Dec 26, followed by a new high on Dec 29.

The pattern was repeated with a recovery on January 4, a new high on January 5, a slump that was recovered on Jan 12, a new high on Jan 18, a slump, and a turnaround on Feb 10.

Too much information, perhaps, but what I am suggesting here is that the tough times we have seen since the Feb 10 high are nothing new and will probably be turned around.

For me the worst recent news is that after placing so many CBB bets, I fear I am stuck with having to add the NCAA games to the NBA database.

It will be a fearsome task because there are so darn many college teams!

Oh, well...

Here's the latest info:





An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. There's nothing to buy, ever, and your soul is safe (from me, at least). Test my ideas and use them or don't. It's up to you.
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