Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Mythematical logic: Winning 50,000 sessions in a row is irrelevant; It only counts when you lose. And you will always lose in the end.

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If you want America's casinos to welcome your patronage, it is important for you to always keep in mind that serious attempts at winning are frowned upon.

Gambling is meant to be fun, not a regular source of revenue. Unless, of course, you own a casino.

Most of the academic mathematicians I have encountered over the years dismiss even the most prolonged winning record as non-representative and therefore irrelevant.

The word they like to use the most is anecdotal, meaning that even the most promising results, whatever the size of the sample, are unique and therefore have no bearing on future performance.

When the conventional wisdom fails to explain the success of target betting, its promoters often abandon their lofty academic posture and ask such questions as, If your method is so effective, why aren't you just using it to make millions instead of telling the world about it?

Or Why can't you accept the results that you say you are getting are impossible and stop wasting everyone's time?.

Believe me or not, if I had not for years been getting results that defy negative expectation, without the need for cheating or self-delusion, I would have given up this quest a long time ago.

Mathematicians might think I am innumerate and suffering from (I love this word) dyscalculia, but in truth I am a logical person, drawn to the magic of numbers but not academically trained in it.

I was also at one time in my life an inveterate gambler, and gave up challenging unbeatable odds in my early 20s because the "amateur arithmetician" inside kept telling me there had to be a better way.

Here's the latest BST data...

(Click on the image to enlarge it)


An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. There's nothing to buy, ever, and your soul is safe (from me, at least). Test my ideas and use them or don't. It's up to you.
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