Monday, March 9, 2009

Mixed messages: The mythematicians say there's no way to win, while casino ads say, "Come! Play! Win! And isn't it great that losing is such fun!?"

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(Click on the image to enlarge it)

I aim to try to keep future posts shorter and let new charts and screen shots speak for themselves.

My target betting material repeats a win rate estimate of 99.992% for the TA/T rules, suggesting favorable odds of better than 10,000 to 1.

This is confirmed by the current on-going blackjack trial, which shows TA/T without a "crash and burn" loss in 12,318 series or about 69,000 bets.

My friends the mythematicians like to say that any sample of outcomes that shows the house edge being soundly thrashed is by definition non-representative, and that either fraud was involved or the method that prevailed will be ruined by the next batch of outcomes of similar size.

This back-and-forth has been going on for years, and will probably never end.

Just hold on to the thought that the casinos need players to believe that only luck can make them winners, and so the fate of their bankroll is out of their control.

Poppycock! Know your game, learn the rules of target betting and (in blackjack) play strictly by the book, and the house advantage will become an irrelevance.

(Click on the image to enlarge it)


An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. There's nothing to buy, ever, and your soul is safe (from me, at least). Test my ideas and use them or don't. It's up to you.
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