Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Sometimes I get criticised for going into too much detail and taking all the fun out of gambling. If losing is fun, then I plead guilty!

 

These days I am spending more and more time analysing baccarat, and just a few years back, I would have said that nothing could pull me away from blackjack, which offers the best odds in the house and requires player input and a little bit of player control over the cards that come out of the shoe.

But I have seen the light!

As I have said before, baccarat is where the money is--and another plus is that casinos are so confident they will soon get their hands on your bankroll that they pay little or no attention to how you go about defending it.

This will be a relatively brief blog entry, confined to a couple of recent shoe summaries.

The data set is identical in both cases.  What's different is that one iteration has the algorithm betting what I call the HOP, which requires a switch from one option to the other after any three consecutive losses (I never bet ties, and neither should you!).

I like the HOP a lot, but finding myself resisting it solely because I have an irrational hatred of the so-called 'five percent' commission on Banker wins.  It's not the loss of winnings that I dislike so much as the lie that it is 'only' five percent.  It is invariably much more than that by the time the dealing is done, and often it will totally eliminate all profits in a long session of challenging play.

So, to the chase.

The latest analysis covers 150 shoes, mostly drawn from Baccarat WinPro's brilliant learn-and-win platform, but some copied over from the BNB channel on YouTube, another terrific source of random data sets perfect for testing ideas and deleoping a viable betting strategy for RTRM (real time, real money!) play.  I highly recommend them both.

Hopefully, the screen-shots below will speak for themselves.

 

 
 

Just keep in mind that random betting against random outcomes cannot prevail in the long run.  That's not an opinion, it is a fact, supported by logic, arithmetic and common sense.

The smart response to that irrefutable truth is to keep your money in your pocket and stay well away from casinos.

But I'm just not that smart.  Are you?

An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. There's nothing to buy, ever, and your soul is safe (from me, at least). Test my ideas and use them or don't. It's up to you. One more piece of friendly advice: If you are inclined to use target betting with real money against online "casinos" such as (ugh!) Stake, spend a few minutes and save a lot of money by reading this.

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