Showing posts with label negative expectation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label negative expectation. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Can target betting make you a winner without a million-dollar bankroll? Absolutely, because anything is better than trusting to luck.

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_ I have been doing this long enough to be more amused than insulted by comments such as "You are an innumerate fool" or "You...
Monday, May 11, 2009

"Your methodology is a mess and your alleged strategy is too complicated for anyone else to understand. This isn't math, it's madness!"

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_ How rude! But I guess when you choose to go public with ideas that challenge the conventional wisdom, you have to be ready to take a littl...
Sunday, May 3, 2009

Gaming regulations in many states favor casinos over players in a big way. So we know whose side the politicians are on!

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_ It's beyond me how there can be any argument about the critical role spread limits play in casino games of chance. So I am especially...
Wednesday, April 29, 2009

If you don't believe that how a player bets can determine if he wins or loses, you probably should not be gambling.

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_ Gambling is not a word I am fond of, because it suggests a foolhardy disregard of the odds and a reckless trust in luck. I have not thoug...
Monday, April 27, 2009

Baccarat "tight spread" results are in, and it's not a tale of triumph, just another lesson in the wisdom of wideness!

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_ Running target betting under tight restrictions is not something I relish because I know ahead of time that a hobbled horse can't win ...
Sunday, April 26, 2009

Back to blackjack, and more of the same old same old. It's a good thing that winning consistently never gets old (even if it's not real money!)

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_ I doubt that the results that a disciplined and adequately funded player can get with target betting would come as a huge surprise to any ...
Monday, April 13, 2009

Surprise, surprise! Gambling's biggest big lie, the "5%" commission, will make losers out of winners in the long run.

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_ I said last time that I would at some point process a notional 5% commission on Banker wins throughout the 300,000-plus baccarat outcomes ...
Sunday, March 29, 2009

The latest BST session should have turned out very badly. It didn't. Maybe next time?

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_ The conventional wisdom holds that because the house advantage at casino table games is immutable and invincible, any attempt to beat it m...
Friday, March 20, 2009

Mythematics: Any sample of outcomes, however large, is totally unique. Reality: If that were so, there would be no house advantage.

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_ The gambling industry's mighty disinformation machine holds that the house edge cannot be beaten in the long run because every sample ...
Thursday, March 19, 2009

Give target betting a try where your learner's mistakes won't cost you cash. Then please share your experience with me!

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_ I could keep on posting new examples of target betting demolishing a house edge far greater than negative expectation, but there are peopl...
Friday, March 13, 2009

When the dealer keeps beating your 19+ hands, should you sit still and suck it up, or get the hell out of there?

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_ Your average academic mythemaniac has a simple answer: Save on shoe leather and stay where you are, because running away can't affect ...
Sunday, March 8, 2009

There's mathematics, and then there's mythematics (the "proven" notion that casino games of chance are ultimately unbeatable!).

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_ The only thing that is demonstrable about the (hopefully) random win-loss patterns derived from house-biased games is that a player who be...